Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.180744 0.209949 0.242414 0.281191 0.326267 0.377040 0.438614
2025-03-30 0.130790 0.168392 0.214691 0.275950 0.354989 0.453700 0.586629
2025-04-06 0.104956 0.145070 0.198073 0.273352 0.377768 0.517874 0.720843
2025-04-13 0.088619 0.129763 0.187339 0.273975 0.401457 0.582847 0.861839
2025-04-20 0.079769 0.122797 0.186083 0.286218 0.441339 0.673633 1.050101
2025-04-27 0.072217 0.116248 0.183951 0.295997 0.477746 0.762675 1.246644
2025-05-04 0.065726 0.110188 0.181382 0.304135 0.511804 0.851295 1.453282
2025-05-11 0.059194 0.103026 0.175877 0.306330 0.535768 0.925657 1.645091
2025-05-18 0.052858 0.095259 0.168223 0.303567 0.550387 0.985251 1.818106
2025-05-25 0.046495 0.086568 0.157803 0.294378 0.552049 1.021692 1.953171
2025-06-01 0.043439 0.083451 0.156832 0.302063 0.585174 1.118326 2.212048
2025-06-08 0.039910 0.078975 0.152768 0.303279 0.605922 1.193802 2.439073
2025-06-15 0.037199 0.075831 0.151002 0.309034 0.636862 1.293846 2.731163
2025-06-22 0.033508 0.070287 0.143923 0.303302 0.644004 1.347636 2.935733
2025-06-29 0.030561 0.065892 0.138597 0.300443 0.656585 1.413762 3.174939
2025-07-06 0.028278 0.062612 0.135167 0.301128 0.676717 1.498018 3.464979
2025-07-13 0.027312 0.062073 0.137470 0.314602 0.726693 1.653114 3.936635
2025-07-20 0.026185 0.061027 0.138529 0.325365 0.771782 1.802611 4.415295
2025-07-27 0.025002 0.059707 0.138806 0.334321 0.813713 1.949807 4.908260
2025-08-03 0.023464 0.057365 0.136462 0.336738 0.840198 2.063594 5.333699
2025-08-10 0.021720 0.054314 0.132102 0.333696 0.852820 2.145188 5.688060
2025-08-17 0.019724 0.050407 0.125245 0.323583 0.846304 2.178341 5.920055
2025-08-24 0.018946 0.049489 0.125635 0.332041 0.888887 2.341655 6.524119